Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 5, 2021

June 5, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Baseball Politics 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Three Amigos (FR) 1.60 1.3 2-1
1 1 Wilton 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Navy Pier 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Holding Pattern 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Skip the Smalltalk 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Special Pryce 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Irish Tuff 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Honey Mug 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Go Stormin Girl 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Winning Quality 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Get None 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Blues Mary 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Flying Business 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 U. S. Currency 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 America’s Queen 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Release the Heat 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Seven Seventeen 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 I Juana Hero 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Stolen Glance 20.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Arch Flyer 3.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Nice and True 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Lady Magna 4.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ah Leah 12.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Aka Lioness 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 One Flashy Girl 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Estardo 10.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Gold Gem 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Weekend Pass 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Twelve Red Roses 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 La Guerrerita 12.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Windy City Girl 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Lady Brexit 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Erin’s Enthusiasm 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Apollo U Anywhere 4.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Princess Cora 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Zandrea’s 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Brunella 3.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Rapid Transit 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Rachelgotstephen 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hide the Demon 10.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Devileye 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Summer Assault 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Hurricane Highway 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 What’s Up Dude 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Richiesinthehouse 2.50 4.5 8-1
7 7 Faraway Kitten 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Background 5.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Fancy Empress 10.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Unburnt 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Magic Solution 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Princesa Blanca 4.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Imbued 3.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Irish Halo 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Simply Fast 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Avasarala 6.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 April’s Gem 10.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Risky Risky Risky 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 6 Manhattan Legacy 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 Summer Day 2.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Kingsbury Dream 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 She’s a Big Star 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 5 Romantic Attack 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Katie M’lady 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Cat Attack 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jolina 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.