June 5, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Baseball Politics | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Amigos (FR) | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilton | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Navy Pier | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holding Pattern | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skip the Smalltalk | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Pryce | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Tuff | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honey Mug | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Stormin Girl | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winning Quality | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get None | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blues Mary | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Business | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | U. S. Currency | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | America’s Queen | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Release the Heat | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Seventeen | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Juana Hero | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stolen Glance | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arch Flyer | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nice and True | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Magna | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ah Leah | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aka Lioness | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Flashy Girl | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Estardo | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Gem | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weekend Pass | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twelve Red Roses | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Guerrerita | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Windy City Girl | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Brexit | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Apollo U Anywhere | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Cora | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zandrea’s | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brunella | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rapid Transit | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rachelgotstephen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hide the Demon | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devileye | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Assault | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Highway | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | What’s Up Dude | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Richiesinthehouse | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faraway Kitten | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Background | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Empress | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unburnt | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Solution | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princesa Blanca | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imbued | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Halo | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simply Fast | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avasarala | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | April’s Gem | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Risky Risky Risky | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Manhattan Legacy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Summer Day | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingsbury Dream | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Big Star | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Romantic Attack | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Katie M’lady | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cat Attack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jolina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.