Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 4, 2021

June 4, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Aunt Kat 0.80 2.3 4-1
5A 4 Stand for the Flag 2.00 2.6 5-1
9 6 Flashndynamite 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Flower Point 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Dublinornothin 30.00 6.5 12-1
2 1 My Sweet Wife 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Platinum Paynter 1.60 SCRATCH
7 7 Bramble Bay 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kissing Frogs 6.00 SCRATCH
10A 10 Classic Lady 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 La Babia 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jezebel’s Kitten 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 5 Strong Moment 10.00 4.5 8-1
13 8 Raffinity 1.20 4.5 8-1
5 4 Shea On a Mission 10.00 4.6 9-1
12 7 Fancy Feline 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Lot of Honey 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Winds of Capri 8.00 7 13-1
3 2 Empress of War 20.00 7.8 15-1
10 6 Little Red Button 15.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Get the Candy 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Tales I Winit 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kreesa La Wrote 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Uncle’s Gem 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Caumsett 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Tremont S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Overbore 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Trust Our Journey 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Kavod 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Baytown Frosty 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Rising Outlaw 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Little Drama 0.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cody’s Wish 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Mahaamel 0.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 The Honorable One 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Askin for a Baskin 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Repo Rocks 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lemon Drop Road 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 We Ready 30.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Theregoesmymiracle 50.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Sir William 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9A 7 Shaftesbury 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 Original 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Munqad 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 5 Colton’s Command 4.00 5.1 10-1
12 10 Public Sector (GB) 3.00 5.2 10-1
10 8 Founder 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 1 Sotoro (FR) 10.00 8.6 16-1
6 4 Arzak 12.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Civil War 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Johnny Sack 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Good Culture 4.00 SCRATCH
14A 14 Amount 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Science (IRE) 15.00 10.2 19-1
11 9 Mira Mission 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Saint Selby 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Colormepazzi 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Kaz’s Beach 8.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Devil’s Code 4.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Quickflash 4.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Brilliant Brooks 2.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 Reggae Music Man 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Leap to Glory 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Bingo John 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Imperio D 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 Beatthatflew 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – True North S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Looking At Bikinis 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Phat Man 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 American Power 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Wicked Trick 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Firenze Fire 2.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Flagstaff 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Big Engine 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bed O’ Roses S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Victim of Love 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Lake Avenue 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Estilo Talentoso 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 3 Bayerness 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 5 Pacific Gale 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Alandra 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Piedi Bianchi 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Chub Wagon 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – New York S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Virginia Joy (GER) 10.00 3.2 6-1
9 7 Thundering Nights (IRE) 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Harvey’s Lil Goil 3.00 5 9-1
1 1 Magic Attitude (GB) 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Mean Mary 4.50 5.8 11-1
4 3 My Sister Nat (FR) 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Civil Union 12.00 6.5 12-1
11 9 Mutamakina (GB) 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 8 Traipsing 30.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Micheline 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Antoinette 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Always Shopping 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Belmont Gold Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Baron Samedi (GB) 1.60 2.4 5-1
5 5 Fantasioso (ARG) 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Ziyad (GB) 5.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Ajourneytofreedom 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Tide of the Sea 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Conviction Trade 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Kinenos 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Strong Tide 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 So High (GB) 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Q F Seventy Five 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 5 Landbiscuit 5.00 5 9-1
4 2 Summer Silence 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 4 Emphasize 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 3 Prayer Book 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Neotropic 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mutasallem 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Cambi Lion 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Fingal 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Gold Bear 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Snow’s Island 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Enroule 15.00 SCRATCH
12 6 I Am the Law 15.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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