Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 4, 2021

June 4, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Galahad Kid 12.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Fort Ridge 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Storminside 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Charlie Irish 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Long Station 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Cadet Captain 4.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 One Way Home 3.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Citali 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Arbitrary 3.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Ballybrack Lass 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 New Rules 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Godsgift 30.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Rank and File 2.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Out Ona Limb 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Emily Bug 20.00 5 10-1
1 1 Lady Atlantic 2.50 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Midnight Blue Note 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 6 Star of Kodiak 2.00 3.6 7-1
4 2 Stormin El Prado 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 4 Royal Commish 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 3 Olson 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Arba 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Trappe Valley 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Merlin’s Song 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kit Kowaleski 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 A Hint of Gray 15.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Draft Capital 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Zarmae 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Speak English 2.00 4 8-1
2 2 King Zion 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Hatchet Creek 8.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Givin Up None 20.00 2.9 6-1
6 5 Jeff the Lion 10.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Beealea 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Fly Nightly 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 6 Raggedy Doll Peach 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Silver Quarters 2.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Mr. Universe 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Navy Seal 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Flashy Richie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Tap the Mojo 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Krewe Chief 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 6 River Cactus 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Rayo de Luz 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Memory Bank 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 7 Preacher Power 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Perfectly Majestic 5.00 7 13-1
3 3 Inclusive 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Mary of Bethany 15.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Slime Queen 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Daddy’s Boo 1.60 4.5 8-1
6 5 White Lies 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Sensible Myth 6.00 5 9-1
5 4 Fate Factor 2.50 5.2 10-1
8 7 Launch Away 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Money Well Spent 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Benelux 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Duchossois 6.00 2.2 4-1
11 9 Its My Bag Baby 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Empty Holster 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Azrael 3.50 5.5 10-1
10 8 Policy Option 4.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Overpraise 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Frontana 10.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Tornado Boy 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 10 River Finn 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Souper Highvoltage 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Upham 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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