June 4, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Galahad Kid | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Ridge | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storminside | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charlie Irish | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Station | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cadet Captain | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Way Home | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Citali | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arbitrary | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ballybrack Lass | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | New Rules | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Godsgift | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rank and File | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Out Ona Limb | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emily Bug | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Atlantic | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Midnight Blue Note | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Star of Kodiak | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Stormin El Prado | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Royal Commish | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Olson | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arba | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trappe Valley | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Merlin’s Song | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kit Kowaleski | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Hint of Gray | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Draft Capital | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zarmae | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speak English | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Zion | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hatchet Creek | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Givin Up None | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jeff the Lion | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Beealea | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fly Nightly | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Raggedy Doll Peach | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silver Quarters | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Universe | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Seal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Flashy Richie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Tap the Mojo | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Krewe Chief | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | River Cactus | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rayo de Luz | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Memory Bank | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Preacher Power | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Perfectly Majestic | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inclusive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Mary of Bethany | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Slime Queen | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Daddy’s Boo | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | White Lies | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sensible Myth | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fate Factor | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Launch Away | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Well Spent | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Benelux | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duchossois | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Its My Bag Baby | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Empty Holster | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Azrael | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Policy Option | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Overpraise | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frontana | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tornado Boy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | River Finn | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Highvoltage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Upham | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.