Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 3, 2021

June 3, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gagoots 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Agave Kid 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Poppy’s Boys 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 High Spirits 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Town Agenda 3.00 5 9-1
1 1 Z U At the Races 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Edison Fire 12.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Road Game 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Battle N Away 30.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Victor’s Way 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Oncewewerebrothers 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Kichiro 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Dom the Bomb 1.40 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tiz Approved 3.50 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Naval Laughter 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Imagine Gold 10.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Maid of Honor 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 My Dams Atitude 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Perfect Diva 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Joan’s Way 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Ready At Midnight 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Bird Key 30.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Colorofacloud 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Paulette 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Straight Up Smarty 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Hero Alexandra 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Be Authentic 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Catnip Kitten 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Little Chick 30.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 No Interest 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Present of Hero 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cold Birdie 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Simple Logic 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Kosher Cowboy 10.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Kennesaw 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Power Through 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Talktoeachother 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Cowboys Feather 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Poquito Man 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Worththemoney 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mr. Eleventh Hour 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Grey Mask 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Derby City 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Easter Music 15.00 4 7-1
7 7 Grand Hideaway 12.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Chapel Barn 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Red Hot Devil 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Foot Rub Love 6.00 6.2 12-1
12 11 Sand Mountain 2.50 6.3 12-1
9 9 J Z’s Last Try 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Uncle Earl 8.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Gumwrapper 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Winnager 3.50 SCRATCH
5 3 Smooth Dancer 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 Backside Beauty 2.50 4.5 9-1
11 8 Kozy Kat 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 7 Out Ona Limb 20.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Me too Mo 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Irish Halo 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ozette 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 6 Rare Action Attack 15.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Aunt Irene 10.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Lipliner 15.00 8.2 16-1
10 7 Next Time You Win 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bridgekeeper 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Prince of Mayhem 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Outrider 8.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Nacozari 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Smart Trial 30.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Russian Alphabet 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Silent Steve 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Dynablue 4.50 6.4 12-1
9 8 Andthethunderrolls 8.00 6.9 13-1
10 9 Lowcountry 4.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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