June 3, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gagoots | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agave Kid | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poppy’s Boys | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Spirits | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Town Agenda | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Z U At the Races | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edison Fire | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Road Game | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battle N Away | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victor’s Way | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oncewewerebrothers | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kichiro | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dom the Bomb | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Approved | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Naval Laughter | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imagine Gold | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maid of Honor | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Dams Atitude | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Diva | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joan’s Way | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready At Midnight | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bird Key | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Colorofacloud | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Paulette | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Straight Up Smarty | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hero Alexandra | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Authentic | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catnip Kitten | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Chick | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Interest | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Present of Hero | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cold Birdie | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simple Logic | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kosher Cowboy | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kennesaw | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power Through | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talktoeachother | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cowboys Feather | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poquito Man | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Worththemoney | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Eleventh Hour | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grey Mask | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Derby City | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easter Music | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Hideaway | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chapel Barn | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Hot Devil | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foot Rub Love | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sand Mountain | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | J Z’s Last Try | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Earl | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gumwrapper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Winnager | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Smooth Dancer | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Backside Beauty | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Kozy Kat | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Out Ona Limb | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Me too Mo | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Halo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ozette | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rare Action Attack | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aunt Irene | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Lipliner | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Next Time You Win | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bridgekeeper | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Mayhem | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outrider | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nacozari | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Trial | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Russian Alphabet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Silent Steve | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynablue | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Andthethunderrolls | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lowcountry | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.