May 30, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Tradition | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gold Fellow | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charlie Potatoes | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Day of Honor | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bridge of Hope | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Castillete | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Goldie’s Boy | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brightwood | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Favorite Image | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Can Run | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Clutch Player | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Malibu Heaven | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Storm Tower | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Be Yourself | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Acadian Girl | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Claire’s Darling | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spirit Or Spite | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet Tanager | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Make It a Double | 1.60 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bust Out Lady | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Pat’s Factor | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Fermat | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Prado Kitten | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Surfing | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Grecian Pharoah | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Cosa Mas Linda | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Aperitivo | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | King Alan | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | El Equalizer | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naked in Cabo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Always Biz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Galactic Slam | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pratt | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bulldog Connection | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | One Bad Kat | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Our Nikki L | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Lassie | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Matoula | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tricky Spirits | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Despeight All Odds | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Familia | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brief Reaction | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Charm City Band | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Degas | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Josef Is Real | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Justwaveandsmile | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Expensive Style | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | H R H Jellybean | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Contraflow | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spitball | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Crying for More | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Portal One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Jazz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Golden Can | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Golden G | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Lew | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Yoda | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raeford | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonzano | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pepe and Heywood | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chico Con Alex | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Antipoison | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 5 | Lapochka | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Ramsey | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hard Fought | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Tusk | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Closer Look | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Laddie Liam | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atreyu | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | King Bubble (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beltway Bob | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bahama Channel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Two Doors Down | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiny Tin | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shaka Style | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stand My Ground | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manklin Creek | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Officer Matute | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.