May 29, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ink | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irishman | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fax | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncommon Valor | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sebastian | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Feyderspiel | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tales of Saratoga | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Congress Hall | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sublimity | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eight Oaks | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Promenade Princess | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’tbaggagecheck | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Solea | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arbutus | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Imwaytoocoolforyou | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Winterthur | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blushable | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ordinary Girl | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Miss Bosconovitch | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Majorette | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tea in China | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Sugar Snap | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hankie Pank | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Venezuelan Talent | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | In Vain | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | New York One | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Warm Sunny Breeze | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commanding General | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Amen Corner | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cooke Brothers | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Fooling Dude | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Solution | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Dixie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Jack Bo | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Nova Boy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Pascal Chant | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Go Go | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Nautical Nature | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | No More Talk | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hambone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Honor Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Station Rock | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jammer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tale of E Dubai | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Americas Woman | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Competent | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Looks Don’t Lie | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galofmydreams | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nine Mast | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Friesan | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flava’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alys Great Notion | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caprichosa | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | C Two | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Ghost Stalker | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mr. Shades of Gray | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wicked Prankster | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Big Venezuela | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Da Chrome | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tijuana Brass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Especiallea | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Striking It Lucky | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cobalt Baron | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Welling | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Big Dreams | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doubleoseven | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Market Mover | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Pass It Up | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Orientate | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artistic Reason | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Gleaming Sword | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bob Man | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Aktham | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Maine | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Laying Up | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Bobbie | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Virginia Fib | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Auchincruive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Irish Lion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.