May 29, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Good Yegg | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Better Think Twice | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Attack | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Putt Richie | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nurse Sadie | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kingsburry Attack | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mommas Boy Otis | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Goldeneyed | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tightrope | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chatter Box | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Que No | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navy Seal | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Etched in Stone | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Verrazanointhesky | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Drama Run | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dance the Day Away | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Juju’s Specialgirl | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Well Maid | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Superstar Diva | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Better Angels | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Get None | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Carmen O’Electra | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Antecedence | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Sully | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gotta B the Salsa | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Global Monopoly | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruler Daenerys | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irina’s Hero | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Bordini | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Never Have I Ever (IRE) | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mark of the Z | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ravens Reflection | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Souper Highvoltage | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Game Boy Benny | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Malpais | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Box | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Easter Music | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Halo Hunter | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Readthecliffnotes | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valiant Vinny | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Say No | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Archiemyboy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bulldog of Bergen | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Omar Attack | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dolly’s Line | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Dish | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Stella (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Share My Moon | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Frost | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girls Count | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cesso | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Tine (FR) | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zidikai | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoodwink | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Supreme Irene | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Timingiseverything | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Andreas | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hannity | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inclusive | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Blitz | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Driver Dan | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hinton | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beast Mode | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tale of the Nile | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.