May 23, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Notre Dame | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bedrock | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Invictatatus | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ian Glass | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Castle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ikigai | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bet On Mookie | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bochombo | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barsabas | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hiding the Brick | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Richards the Dream | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Agreetodisagree | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Dana | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saturday Heist | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ensleys Dream | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Little Tiger | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chollima | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Toffee | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Riddle | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You Wanna Ear Rip | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uno Trouble Maker | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Rip City | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gregdar | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Order and Law | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stirling Drive | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leprino | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Camby | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Camino de Estrella | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Next Revolt | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Cinema S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sword Zorro (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hubris | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hudson Ridge | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Airman | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy Irish | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reem | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eyes Open | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruby’s Orchid | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bowl of Cherries | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Esagerare | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | B’esame Me Mucho | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Minister Shane | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Vronsky Style | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Head for Business | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Handsome | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Constant Conflict | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Really Big News | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patriot Missile | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.