May 23, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Rockstar Girl | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Long Point Beach | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Car Lady | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lovely Brown | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Who U Gonna Call | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Alleria | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mavilus | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rapidashqueen | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cold Hearted Cat | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Way Or Else | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ortinola | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tessa P | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jaimie’s Warrior | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buy the Best | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bandits Warrior | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mama G’s Wish | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cabra Chica | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Palmer | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Downcomesthenite | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glossamer | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfume River | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayfield of Dreams | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coral Summer | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Til Dusk | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Writtenbythestars | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Missawlet | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bellsinthewood (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Indian Nichols | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pearlyville | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Flava’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Vesper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Abilify | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bell the Cat | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trivati | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Sunday in L B C | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jeanie’s Angel | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toma | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sevilla Sangria | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Meet Michelle | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Hot Kitten | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Why Roxie Why | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King Causeway | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. d’Angelo | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Sir Back in Black | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tauber | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rising Perry | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Order for Porky | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | You Are Awesome | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jammin Still | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Perpetrate | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Twitty City | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Good Man | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Semper Fi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Delaware Destroyer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Maru’s Raven | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Current | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | You Must Chill | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Pederson’s Courage | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ima Ima Starboy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Edge | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hello Amigo | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Second Term | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ladneedsahandler | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maracas | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie A | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rapid Response | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forth | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nordic Rhythm | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cat’s Pajamas | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sailingintothewind | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In a Hurry | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Canoe | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fed Up Fired Up | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Babia | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Blame Judy | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stop War | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Nottoway | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Eastern Bay | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Whiskey and You | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tappin Cat | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Noble Commander | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Always Sunshine | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Absentee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Conjecture | 0.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foggy Dreams | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suzie’ssteppinout | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eloquent Lady | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ran Char | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Phantom Shot | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.