May 23, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Straw Into Gold | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grape Nuts Warrior | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Agent Creed | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Speaker | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Albie | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | English Breeze | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiergan | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Adriatic Rose | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bertinga | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Principessa | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Ms Scarlet | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quiet Type | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Handle the Truth | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Great Poohdini | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Madame Rose | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Reine Rouge | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Feline | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Therisastormbrewin | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pier Forty | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapizearance | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Social Group | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Open Lengths | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Fire | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not That Brady | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fotis | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clever Fellow | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Perpetual Change | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ocala Dream | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shinjuku | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Neuro | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bar Fourteen | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cox’s Ledge | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Conquest | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Athenry | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Grinch | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Utmost | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hieroglyphics | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crypto Cash | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boru | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smile Bryan | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Threshold | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soulmate | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Castagno | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King of American | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Dan | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr Phil | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dangerous Edge | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Moonlight | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Counselor | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Court Press | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meetmeincali | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noctilucent | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Killer Dress | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mopolka | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Summer in the City | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Little Jewel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rose E Holiday | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mirabell Mei | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kemba | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | La Croix Valmer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magnetique | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Miss Teheran (IRE) | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Love (GB) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speaktomeofsummer | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bacchanalia | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Mo Lady | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bramble Queen | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tasting the Stars | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Joey Loose Lips | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jumpster | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kikkerland | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crock of Gold | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Triple Americano | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dee Bo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Myles to Go | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forgotten Mission | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dutchmen Forever | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Flipping Fun | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taco Bean | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing a Legacy | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Up for Adventure | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.