May 22, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Swing Your Sword | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manklin Creek | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hazels Little Man | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Hoisted Mast | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sam and Sy | 1.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get Lit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Aprilness | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jenn’s the Boss | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shackaboom | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hello Gracie | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tunstall | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Promenade Princess | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Honorable Lilly | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big Affair | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lady Jean | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Crafty Lass | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lookin for Candy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | La Rufina | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kens Lady | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Great | 15.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Utterly Enchanting | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Extra Medium | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Buzz | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ticker Tape Parade | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Federale | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Junior | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spokane Eagle | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Americano | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Walk It Out Nanny | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlight Miss | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glory March | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What a Tart | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Why Not You | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Personal Server | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Ember | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Do I Ever | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mahkato | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Adira | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fused | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seville Row | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mint Game | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stand My Ground | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daper’s Drink | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B Determined | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Not Telling | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Claw | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Torres Del Paine | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alleria | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | T Minus Ten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ronithelimodriver | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tri Try Colors | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Scorched by Fire | 50.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Marvella Nasty | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Targe | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Clau | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guns Blazing | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hufflepuff | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Castilleja | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Supreme Blessing | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fearless Lassie | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devilish Affair | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Hair of the Dog | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chauffeur | 2.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crack the Safe | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baltimore Bud | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Asta | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Divine Proportion | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Shawn | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ladneedsahandler | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ziggy Springer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gleaming Sword | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Auchincruive | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Virginia Fib | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | The Big K | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Snow Job | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Irish Lion | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bean Pole | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Whispering Pines | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Beauty | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be Good | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’smysunshine | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gimme’s Goldengirl | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Edie Meeny Miny Mo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sick Pack Sara | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crystalology | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Square Penny | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mosler’s Touch | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Likely Choice | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monkey On My Back | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mabel’s Fable | 10.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapdancing Girl | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hickory Made | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sidney Sue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miner’s Gem | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Notion Interruptus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tak E Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tea in China | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Alluring Rumba | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | All About Audrey | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.