May 22, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Beauty | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Mia | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady by Choice | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Movie Score | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Liana | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tell Me Im Pretty | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mi Mi | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Value Chain | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | America’s Justice | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean Gold | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jarreau | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Caps | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cracker Box Palace | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hilliard | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Declareatruce | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Centurion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Inappropriate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stand With Mo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Our Lucky Man | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lindsylu | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Riding On a Winner | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Shesalittle Edgy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | She Answered | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Easy to Bless | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Madera | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Predetermined | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mind of Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Love And Thunder (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Windfall Profit | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Equal Measure | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Fawzia | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Saratoga Affair | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fetching | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Candy Flower | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Amber | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Girl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Irish Giant | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Charlie Five O | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Macho Boy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quixotic | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Joint and Several | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taino | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Apex Predator | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our American Star | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Passcode | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gratto Swing | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wardenofthenorth | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Jaa Mode | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Doctor | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Majestic Sky | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rogue Leader | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Straight Skinny | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vodka Lemonade | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Out of the Breech | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Brown | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Yah Huh | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Capt’ Remington | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jack’s Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Big Little Risk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Flipping Fun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mr. Buckley | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Regality | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Nightspot | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Heavy Roller | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Malibu Pro | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Runabout | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Roaming Union | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kumar | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Here Comes Doc | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Even Thunder | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Legit | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Hammerin Aamer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Eagle Pass | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Laura’s Bellamy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trinni Luck | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bankers Daughter | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pleasure Luck | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Out First | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Karen | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steal My Heart | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pendolino | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breakfastatbonnies | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Seek Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Delaware (GB) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Flavius | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tell Your Daddy | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Get Smokin | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Epic Dreamer | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Decorated Invader | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Olympic Runner | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiberius Mercurius | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danny California | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Yankee Division | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Dancing Firefly | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Taffy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Reeley Psyched | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emma and I | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blind Sight | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormi Cat Lady | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saigon | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Duckphat | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cosmic Kitten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Horizon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bella Principessa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Elegant Laoban | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | La Reine Rouge | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Great Poohdini | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Adriatic Rose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Freedom Machine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.