May 21, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Coinage | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barese | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bali’s Shade | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Golden Holiday | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Disengage | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Achilles Heel | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingdom On Paws | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Smooth Pebble | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Joqular | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She So Naughty | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ava K’s Girl | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pie Killer | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Appreciate | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Power | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Romance | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shannon’s Girl | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rosies Surprise | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seahorse d’Oro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fine Prospecture | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Remoane | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Money | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magicallydelicious | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love Me Tomorrow | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classy Sadie | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gagliano | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Home Mama | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Brazillionaire | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Montauk Daddy | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jake Rocks | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Currency | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scocciatore | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Me ‘n Sap | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Like It | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Litterbox | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Phil | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Advance Notice | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Irresistible Girl | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Purda Vita | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Master of Hope | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quasar | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Tony’s Girl | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Take It Off | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey It’s Tati | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6B | 4 | Carom | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11B | 8 | Battalion | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Seismic Wave | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Vegas Kitten | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mandate | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Noble Thought | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Attentive | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Grumps Little Tots | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Danebury | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Forever Mo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Highway Queen | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tapple Cider | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Voice of Spring | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Raffinity | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | A Bit o’Irish Sass | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Franny Lu | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | U Guys Are No Fun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Into the Sunrise | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ahead of Plan | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | By George | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes and Yes | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hurricane Hill | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Comedy Town | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wudda U Think Now | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shiraz | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Turn of Events | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Light the Posse | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Not Phar Now | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tenure | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Larceny | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Troubadour | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ninja Dust | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rhythm Section | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dubai Bobby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.