May 20, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Alacrity | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Fast One | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Time Alone | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Draw Off | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Kisses | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saburai | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Here Comes Jackie | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Vip Nation | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Micromillion | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Humor | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Take Charge Tina | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ok Honey | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Short Pour | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Normandy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calidad | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sweet Larissa | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tremayne | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Captivating Cara | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Emmy Winner | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bellamy’spartygirl | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bewps | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gone Glimmering | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Customerexperience | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Changed | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Glass Ceiling | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | True Castle | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anna’s Fast | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dublinornothin | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dovey Lovey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shanghaischool | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shotski | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | O’Trouble | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Break | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Democratic Values | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Gotcha | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Rule | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Digital Future | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Newsworthy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | After Five | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Law | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dazzle Time | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rye Runner | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Deep | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Theregoesmymiracle | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Always Carina | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jordan’s Leo | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stand by You | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Malibu Curl | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bravo Regina | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hybrid Eclipse | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Battle Station | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Holiday Stone | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Shekky Shebaz | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Quarky | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Blind Ambition | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Fast Getaway | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jemography | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Runningwscissors | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Big Engine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Spatial | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coalition Building | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Black Sand (GB) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fortuna | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Community Adjusted | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lisheen | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Harlem Heights | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Except Temptation | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Synonymous | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tonal Verse | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.