May 15, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Firecracker Stand | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Downtown Brown | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sailor Chow | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock City Rocket | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | He Has No Friends | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Youjustgottuppered | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Shapoor | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Talkin Malice | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Herzen | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Data Storm | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tuff Willy Te | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feisty Bird | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Say It Nicely | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Louie | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ginger Rules | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Running Alex’sband | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Point of Impact | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | York Road | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alia Max | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Layton the Day | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rowdy Rascal | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dang It Briscoe | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Bondsman | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Evan’s Envy | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Brush of Luck | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uottalikeit | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Titanic Rose | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drunk n’ Swaying | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Artie | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itsnotmyjob | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suz | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapigal | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spell Winder | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deja Sue | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leighton Kentucky | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Olive Oyl | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charm and Sarcasm | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shesabidformidable | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Repeal | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready to Get Loud | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Me ‘n Jerri Lee | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Romance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Golden Circle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Mamba | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bodenheimer | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Molto Vivace | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vulcan | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chicks Dig Scars | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flash of Mischief | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Star | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Papa | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goldeneyed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Bling | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Focus First | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Distorted Flash | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catechism | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Fire and Ice | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Flashback | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blinkers | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Goldfinch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kandy Ginger | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inject | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heart Full of Soul | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feeling Mischief | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Twenty | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Becca’s Rocket | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Splash Cash | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anothersunnyday | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She Likes to Party | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paytience Pays | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.