May 15, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alandra | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stand for the Flag | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finding Fame | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashndynamite | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Hurts | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Night Escort | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Micro Me | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hotel Charlie | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breaking Stones | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Humpday | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Easy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Cash Go | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Loulovestheriver | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Second Fortune | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Interstate | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lookin for Trouble | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three Outlaws | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scuttlebuzz | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Matty’s Express | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Blake | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapizearance | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Effinity | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Bobby | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Storm Advisory | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sneakiness | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Strolling | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Popizar | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Art G Is Back | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Batterbatterswing | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shamrocked | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arham | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Tio Magico | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Red Storm Risen | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Voodoo Zip | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rejected Again | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Suspended Campaign | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easter Chocolate | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Subsidiary | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amos | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funny Bones Flag | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cadeau de Paix | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stunning Munnings | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Quick Nick | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Papa Smooth | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Tiger | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ravizzol | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoping and Praying | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forest Spirit | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unlikely | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Med School Michael | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senor Phelps | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Distractandattack | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Joey Loose Lips | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Buckley | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Acushla | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s the One | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Manhattan | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Kitten | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Just Ok Is Not Ok | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Write This Down | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Constitutionalrage | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Masterof the Tunes | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Epona’s Dream | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fastelle | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gallina | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Girl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Dark Storm | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Musical America | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Supreme Aura | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heirloom Kitten | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Munnys | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whistling Birds | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Queens Jules | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parade Field | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mubarmaj | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Rule | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Soaring Softly S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Star Devine (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bye Bye | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sleek Lynx (GB) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tobys Heart | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Invincible Gal (GB) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candace O | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hit the Woah | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Ordinary Time | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Libertee | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lexinator | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Buy Love | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Giramonte | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Panster | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Triple Americano | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tempesta | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Artie’s Lit | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Strong Desire | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Oliver’s Fortune | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ratchet | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crock of Gold | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Regality | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.