May 14, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Gambling Cat | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4B | 3 | Lullula | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Traffic Lane | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8B | 7 | Entwine (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hohohoho | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Systematic | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sudden Impulse | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amity Island | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 3 | Road to Meath | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Social Group | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Front | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Anzio Beach | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Latin Love Bug | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Promo Code | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | The Big S | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reux (GB) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Maxwell Esquire | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kanthaka | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Chewing Gum | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Penalty | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joker On Jack | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | American Power | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Briggs | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Flag | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Realm | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exalted Charm | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fingal | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Doom | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostconqueror | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Front Man | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Devilish Mood | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kid Bourbon | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hard Count | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Searching for Gold | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fame to Famous | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Re Created | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Super Wicked Charm | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My First Grammy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Allured | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ekhtibaar | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hammerin Aamer | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Love Jaxson | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frankie Barone | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Direct Order | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mac’s Revolution | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Know It All | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hero’s Hope | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Irish Constitution | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Roxy Girl | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Awesome Debate | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fierce Lady | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wailin Josie | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fight On Lucy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rossa Veloce | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Stage Raider | 0.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Civil War | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sono Grato | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Purple Hearted | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Centavo | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Good Culture | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Dr Jack | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Ghostmon | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trisaetum | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Enroule | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eight Weeks Long | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Webb | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jade’s Dream | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Voliero | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Bielefeld | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dreampoint | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reunion Tour | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Karma | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alite | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Interstate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Hold the Irish | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.