May 13, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Ready to Run | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Backwoods Boogie | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Barnstorm | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Fooling Dude | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gins and Tins | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Confusion Baby Boy | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pyser’s Orb | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Xmasinthecity | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Saint | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ellerbe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Nazca Mystery | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pure Spring | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shelly Island | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Vern H | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Writtenbythestars | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheriff’s Kid | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tua | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s All Courage | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Brandi | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | White Whiskey | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Buzzhound | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stare Decisis | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Tower | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Makoto | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Shades of Gray | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Woodchuck | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rip It | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Laying Up | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Monster Mason | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Prado Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Mosley | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fomo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Super Monarch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bridge of Hope | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Heaven | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luv the Painter | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nine Martinis | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yesterdaysplan | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Annika Gold | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hidenseek Sally | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bring Me Answers | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Queen Michelle | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Surfing | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zealin It | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jestful | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Equalizer | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Honey Island | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smitten Enough | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pat’s Factor | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tyler Time | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Day of Honor | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Want More | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Undaunted Rags | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tiddly Wink | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Military Commander | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ready Reward | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Honor My World | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Erica Jane | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Saga | 0.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trikki Nikki | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C Two | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Little Fanny | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobbini | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slip Slidin | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trivati | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Frosted Indian | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miami Mumbles | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Johng | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Trouble Coffee | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dreaming of Carats | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Officer Country | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Striking It Lucky | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Venezuela | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stringfella | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wicked Prankster | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | T Minus Ten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | And Seek | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dr. Ferber | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ragtime Suzy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cougar Vision | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joyful Noise | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace Isabella | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marie From Parie | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.