May 13, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Pier Forty | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Knight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Kith | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ask Neal | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doublepour | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scotty | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Allied Invasion | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fotis | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Happy Soul | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lemieux | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Tripp | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Landslid | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Endless Crusade | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Can Run | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Virginia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Princess Pinky | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Bay | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Glenmore | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Me Tomorrow | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chloe Rose | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baba | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caramocha | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tourrista | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harvey’s Princess | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emirates Affair | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Boombastic | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Mary Lou | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Splendor | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ostracize | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Patti D | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Alpha Babe | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Alpine Queen | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Exotic Cat | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Matoula | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Daily Briefing | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | T Loves a Fight | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Clench | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zaevion | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Town | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Farm | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Home Run Maker | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Full Salute | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aristocratic | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Square Shooter | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | American Tattoo (ARG) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Brush Country | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Clear the Mine | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Win With Pride | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Manifest Destiny | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eagle Pass | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tale of Mist | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Playthatfunnymusic | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Summer Bourbon | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vicar’s Legend | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mac’s Revolution | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hero’s Hope | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Frankie Barone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Scilly Cay | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stage Left | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Ice | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Worth | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Breez | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Binkster | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Now Tiz Time | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Good Old Boy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Klickitat | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Right | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Shane | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Step Dancer | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cold Hard Cash | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nutzforboltz | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Hermano | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whistling Birds | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Three Jokers | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Control Group | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anejo | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Feathers Road | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Flash | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fast Gordon | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Great Gazoo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frat | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Moonracer | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marc’s Humor | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Da Stamina Man | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gongheifatchoy | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Regality | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.