May 10, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Five Queens | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ransomed | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mulberry | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madison Way | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss My Grits | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Julie Arkansas | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Itsnotmyjob | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hubbadahubbadaboom | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upperclassman | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allthewaywithtaye | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beta Capo Song | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victory Trip | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dazzl’n Mischief | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Solo | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Torington | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woke Up Wild | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | That’s What I Say | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Deputy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alhambra Palace | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faded Memories | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Penny | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kowgirl Kirby | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Ready | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beauty Contest | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Boo Be Right | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Marquee Thunder | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rebounder | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Lullaby | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Impact Player | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | I’m River | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Codetowin | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Take Charge Now | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lightening Anna | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hour City | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Drewpower | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scarlett’s Jack | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Funandfunny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.