May 9, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slew South | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Babe | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keep Dancing | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mensa On Tap | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Game Plan | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mackinnon | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bochombo | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Finneus | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Street Art | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Onefineday | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Precious Insight | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Li’l Grazen | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Renella | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eddie’s New Dream | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Respectfully | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Ebby | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss You Mom | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gotta Be Lucky | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormin Ranger | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Wanna Ear Rip | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Wonderfully | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Window | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Commander (FR) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tilted Towers | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speedy Justice | 0.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kanderel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fight On | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kazan (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Trump | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Took Charge | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Defense Wins | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Audace | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holden the Lute | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Got No Munny | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unthrottled | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Towing | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Chewbacca | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fran’s Valentine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Pulpit Rider | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Warren’s Showtime | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leggs Galore | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kristi’s Tiger | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lofty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bella Vita | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Contagion | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Law Professor | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Insider | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palace Coup | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tizhotndusty | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Waspirant | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mulberry Street | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Prez | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | City Rage | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ka’nah | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ginobili | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fratelli | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whooping Jay | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adare | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Addouma | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Best Chance | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Offshore Affair | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coast of Roan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.