May 9, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Riot House | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lucci | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Speak Unity | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Yukio | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Any Minute | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bueno Bueno | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Staretz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hagler | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gentle Annie | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mebs Web | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lottie’s Mizzion | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tuff Bird | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Appletini | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Left Leaning Lucy | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Sophia | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cartwheel | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ok Honey | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daria’s Angel | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gringotts | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Awesome Jenny | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Title | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Humor | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twilight Gleaming (IRE) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Poppy Flower | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Constitution Gal | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bella Prima | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Action Potential | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Akedah | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anna and Mia | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saburai | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Choose Happiness | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Skew | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mopolka | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Fatima | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Micromillion | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Kitten | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame the Gods | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mani Pedi | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Patrona | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Brooks | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Schokolade | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winners Laugh | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | It’s Gravy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Ninth Hour | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kaz’s Beach | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leap to Glory | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Suspect | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | A Longlongtimeago | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reggae Music Man | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Code | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jacks American Pie | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Purple Hearted | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bodecream | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Identity Politics | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chocolate Bar | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abiding Star | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Winning Factor | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mad Munnys | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Singapore Flash | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sanctuary City | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Family Biz | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gold Fever S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Candy Man Rocket | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roderick | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beren | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Wolfman | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doubleoseven | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Gentleman | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Shamalamadingdong | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No Payne | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Runaway Rumour | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Breeze | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Caumsett | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kreesa La Wrote | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ruthless Gal | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Memories Eternal | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Social Whirl | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spun for Lu Lu | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Handle the Truth | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Merry Maiden | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lollygag | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Uncle’s Gem | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Strong Moment | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Highway Queen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.