May 8, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Potantico | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Villainous | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runabout | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flowers for Lisa | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Automate | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danebury | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Lincoln | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kokopelli | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Queen Arella | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Snicket | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Herald Angel | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Blame It On Mary | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Canarsie Angel | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fractorzation | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Strongerthanuknow | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vienna Code | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Cara | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Betsy Blue | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rainbow Gal | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 14 | Hey Red | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bustin Stones Up | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Blind Sight | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Eilish | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tremayne | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweeter | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ob La Di | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Maria’s Gift | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Know It All Red | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vive La Liberty | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Captivating Cara | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Happy Hill Lil | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Central Capital | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Honorable Dreams | 50.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Idalisa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Roxen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Runhappy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chateau | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stan the Man | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Firenze Fire | 0.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drafted | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Town Classic | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sinful Dancer | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dressedforthefifth | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thunderbird Cafe | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iwo Jima | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fuoco | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Noble Journey | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Viking Zim | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cotton | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancin in Dubai | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Whirlwind Ride | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Danzigwiththestars | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Napoleon Complex | 50.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Anejo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Great Gazoo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Frat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Gongheifatchoy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Beaugay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lemista (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harvey’s Lil Goil | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nay Lady Nay (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Civil Union | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thankful | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Paynter | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Vagrancy H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Pacific Gale | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Piedi Bianchi | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victim of Love | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Honor Way | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sadie Lady | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss the Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | French Empire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | In Italian (GB) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Infinite Potential (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tetella | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flaming Rouge | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palamos (GB) | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colombe D’ Oro | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Traffic Song | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Now Yus Cant Leave | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bonkers | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lilly Simone | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Peter Pan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nova Rags | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Promise Keeper | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Overtook | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Am the Law | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Risk Taking | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Man O’ War S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sovereign (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ziyad (GB) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Over Miami | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Field Pass | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Channel Cat | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shamrocket | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gufo | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So High (GB) | 50.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rastafara (IRE) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gabby Squared | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gathered Flowers | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Before You | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Third Draft | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wow | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Bonnie T | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scarabea | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Venus Oyzo | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.