May 6, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Maisel | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trevess | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beast of Wildwood | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Miami | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Salsa Rita | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ledecky | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arrow Shape | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spirit Wind | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overthebluesky | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Belle | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Straight to Go | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Noble Present | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karla Sofia | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jimmyssmokedcarrot | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pearlescent | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Swept | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All About Kathern | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Factor | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soothing | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play That Tone | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nationalist | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bahamian Girl | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Etana | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Takes Heart | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Fiorella | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grace’s Drama | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shea On a Mission | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bettabe Swift | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | May I | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Kentucky Girl | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Heart | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bordeaux Legacy | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breehazel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tons of Gold | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Eyed Jack | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ingreido | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Larned | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Fog | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Memorable | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ninetydaysofwinter | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | La Rusia | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mercy Mercy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ghislaine | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Moreno | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eighty Seven North | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Boatloadofnerve | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smirkotch | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gran Reserva | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nketiah | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unlonely | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheval Dore | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Q | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Zopilote | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreaming of Gus | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Balisto | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Crown | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.