Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 6, 2021

May 6, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mrs. Maisel 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Trevess 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Beast of Wildwood 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Miss Miami 4.50 4 8-1
6 5 Salsa Rita 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Ledecky 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Dixie Princess 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Arrow Shape 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 5 Spirit Wind 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Overthebluesky 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Broadway Belle 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Straight to Go 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Noble Present 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Karla Sofia 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jimmyssmokedcarrot 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Pearlescent 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Star Swept 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 All About Kathern 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Money Factor 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Soothing 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Play That Tone 30.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nationalist 1.80 1.4 3-1
3 3 Bahamian Girl 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Etana 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 She Takes Heart 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lady Fiorella 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Grace’s Drama 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shea On a Mission 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Bettabe Swift 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 May I 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Blue Kentucky Girl 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Uncaptured Heart 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bordeaux Legacy 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Breehazel 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tons of Gold 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 One Eyed Jack 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Ingreido 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Saint Larned 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Red Fog 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Memorable 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Ninetydaysofwinter 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 La Rusia 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Mercy Mercy 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Miss Ghislaine 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Miss Moreno 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Eighty Seven North 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Boatloadofnerve 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Smirkotch 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Gran Reserva 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Nketiah 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Unlonely 1.40 2.1 4-1
3 3 Cheval Dore 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Super Q 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 El Zopilote 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Dreaming of Gus 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Balisto 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Lil Crown 20.00 6.1 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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