Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, May 5, 2021

May 5, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Uncommon Valor 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Super Houdini 1.80 3.2 6-1
4 3 Pylon 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Prince Champ 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Austin Whylie 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Factum Love Style 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 S Man 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8A 6 Mustn’t Grumble 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 One Tough Rose 5.00 2.1 4-1
7 5 Mon Cherie 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 2 Aegean Sea 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 3 Wicked Jane 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 4 Originaly From Dot 6.00 4.5 8-1
2A 2 Abhaile 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Madame Rouge 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Blackjack Jedi 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 J Wass 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 2 No Fly Zone 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Spirit Wolf 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Prince Orb 8.00 4 8-1
5A 4 Johnny Wishbone 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Rules 20.00 5 10-1
2A 2 Catch My Vibe 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dang It 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rings of Jupiter 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Dubrovsky 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Lost Iron 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Eden Ridge 5.00 2.9 5-1
1A 1 Mr. Romance 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Loan Me Your Ear 12.00 4.6 9-1
3A 3 Sunshine Wild 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Banker’s Island 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 G Daddy 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Macho Jack 1.80 3.4 6-1
1 1 Big Bad Bud 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Releasethethunder 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Cape May Style 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Tomasco 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Irish Roar (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fran’s Worrier 1.80 1.3 2-1
7 6 Cowboy Mz 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Street Tail 3.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Royalty Salvatore 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Chrisatude 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Five More Minutes 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Jupi’s Lightning 6.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Beto’s Girl 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Castilleja 1.80 2.4 5-1
6 5 Going Going Gone 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Incomparable 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Catti La Belle 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Big Brown Eyes 15.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sharon’s Law 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mount Travers 1.60 1.2 2-1
1A 1 Still Having Fun 2.50 1.5 3-1
3A 3 Shanghai Superfly 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Fortune’s Fool 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Violent Turbulence 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Pnutbutter Special 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Genghis 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wentz 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Arch Cat 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 My Boy Tate 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Press My Bets 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Dontmesawithme 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Flat Out Beautiful 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Charity Stripe 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Positive Force 3.50 2.6 5-1
10 9 She’smyrisenstar 6.00 3 6-1
6 5 Heroic Officer 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Stormbeam 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Lookingforanewspot 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Uncaptured Ruby 12.00 5.9 11-1
8A 7 Monaco Princess 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 1 Mrs. Crews 15.00 7 13-1
1A 1 Iron Lilly 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sizzling Roma 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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