May 5, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Uncommon Valor | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Houdini | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pylon | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prince Champ | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Austin Whylie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Factum Love Style | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | S Man | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 6 | Mustn’t Grumble | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Tough Rose | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mon Cherie | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Aegean Sea | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wicked Jane | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Originaly From Dot | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Abhaile | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Madame Rouge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Blackjack Jedi | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | J Wass | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | No Fly Zone | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Wolf | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Prince Orb | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Johnny Wishbone | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rules | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Catch My Vibe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dang It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rings of Jupiter | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dubrovsky | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost Iron | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eden Ridge | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Mr. Romance | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loan Me Your Ear | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Sunshine Wild | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Banker’s Island | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | G Daddy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Jack | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bad Bud | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Releasethethunder | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cape May Style | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tomasco | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Roar (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fran’s Worrier | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cowboy Mz | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Tail | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royalty Salvatore | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chrisatude | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Five More Minutes | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jupi’s Lightning | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Beto’s Girl | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Castilleja | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Going Going Gone | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Incomparable | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catti La Belle | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Brown Eyes | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharon’s Law | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mount Travers | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Still Having Fun | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Shanghai Superfly | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fortune’s Fool | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Violent Turbulence | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pnutbutter Special | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Genghis | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wentz | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Cat | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Boy Tate | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Press My Bets | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dontmesawithme | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Beautiful | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Charity Stripe | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Positive Force | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | She’smyrisenstar | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heroic Officer | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stormbeam | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lookingforanewspot | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Uncaptured Ruby | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Monaco Princess | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mrs. Crews | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Iron Lilly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sizzling Roma | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.