May 4, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Dervish | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Posseineffecttoo | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Terpeye | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lula’s Roadrunner | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Jersey | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luscious Lola | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Knock Out Kid | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Purissima | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Trappe Me Later | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bayleaf | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Rochela | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | What About Tonight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Atlantic Avenue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bow Town Cat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Appealing Future | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Arrecife | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Daddy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tomater Gator | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Much Johnnie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gateway Love | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oak Creek Canyon | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Almost Evil | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Misbehaving Lady | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Tart | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Danzing the Polka | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Jasser | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Nova | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Page Eleven | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Baby Bull | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Explain | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bundi Bundi | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strictly the Best | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stonegate | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grandfire | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strum and Pluck | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lt. Columbo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled John | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Saw It All | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Afleet Melody | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Richie Goes Global | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Commissioner Dave | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shiloh Lane | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rodeo Red | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phil the Banker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Prince Orb | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Man Elvis | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Earthquake | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heart of a Dreamer | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Surfer Boy George | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swiping Dan | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Louie’s Wish | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nobiz Like Jetbiz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Breithorn | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mission Oberon | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Savatiano | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Abdaa | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Martial Eagle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Classified Info | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Slingin Sammy B | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lorden’s Love | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Colloquium | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mija Bella | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oceano Rosso | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Serious Happiness | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whyisshesoolucky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Manahawkin | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tactical Plan | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bolita Boyz | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | These Blues | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Transitive | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Psychic Energy | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Incensed | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Fort Royal | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Bob’s My Uncle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.