May 1, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Goose Drank Wine | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chitto | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Breslin | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gotta Love Ike | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foxy Ace | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tough Company | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Knight Disruptor | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Recount | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back the Blue | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monday Confession | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Theboyfromjersey | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fearless Will | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Owe Her One | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Wicked Wish | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Lein | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Napili | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Javistha | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Think I Got This | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shackadelic | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theruffsideofexhi | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Invasive | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flyta | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Tourista | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grace Forever | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Topper T | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Basic Chance | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scrutinizer | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greedy Creedy | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kauai | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royally Handsome | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | California Dreamer | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Campfire Tales | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garbo Speaks | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Picture Lady | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sabria | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Total Outburst | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel’s Melody | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.