April 30, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Nugget of Grace | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I Lived It | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Firecracker Stand | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Nojokeimbroke | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Thatsawasteofwine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jigsaw Blue | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | A Girl Like Me | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sennebec Summer | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Be Amazing | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mingo Magic | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Romance | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seattle Bay | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | His Giant | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Thatsafactjack | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Westa Waverly | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Battle | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hawkwood | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Trade Deadline | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Casanova | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storm the Field | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Thirty | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Masterofmatrimony | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prairie Wolf | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lancelot N Elaine | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Callum Up Early | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swampdrainer | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Shirley | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snapy Gal | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girls in Charge | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kela’s Turn | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Topless | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zofia | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stephen’s Answer | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pinson | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rock City Roadhog | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bow and Arrow | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Take That for Data | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Post Close | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Newport Beach | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tapthatluck | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Damascus Gate | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bye Love Gotta Go | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Repeal | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Shack Queen | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Maker | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leighton Kentucky | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jack’s Party Girl | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ready to Get Loud | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tap the Brakes | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Louie | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Scorpio | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outlaster | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ministry of Art | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Chief | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nosbor | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Bobby McGee | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.