April 29, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Easy Empire | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Johnnypump | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Emperor | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Centurion | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Rising | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lend America | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grecian Pharoah | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Truebelieve | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Front | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imperio D | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trappeze Artist | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Boy Mo | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cliffy | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Happy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | L’Indiscret | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Information Mosaic | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Except Temptation | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lulus in Charge | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Nutter | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cosmic Kitten | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tilsa | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Synonymous | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Alpine Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mi Mi | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lovely Lady Lexi | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blunt Force | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Take Charge Tina | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | City Temper | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cover Photo | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tell Me Im Pretty | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Beauty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Technical Analysis (IRE) | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Siraneuse | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Island Treasure | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Caldee | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Earth Strike (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Tourista | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Betcha by Golly | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lightning Lou (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Timed Out | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vici | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | War Stroll | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Blind Ambition | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Somekindofmagician | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Kitten’s Cat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Duncastle | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Spikes Shirl | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystery Messenger | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Honorable Hero | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mission Command | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Unmoored | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Home Run Maker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hometown | 1.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Indian Counselor | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Dust Devil | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lost in Rome | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vintage Hollywood | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Rule | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Obsessed | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Alec | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer to Remember | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Utmost | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Microsecond | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dynadrive | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kinenos | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Evaluator | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grumps Little Tots | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Malthael | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Locally Owned | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lyrical Poet | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disciplanarian | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scocciatore | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | On the Muscle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deputy Flag | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Justintimeforwine | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knockout Punch | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Montatham | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Destiny | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ernie Banker | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Clamor | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Self Awareness | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.