April 24, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Crystal Water S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Acclimate | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brandothebartender | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | North County Guy | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Heatwave | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desmond Doss | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prodigal Son | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Threearchbaymafia | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crooked Finger Ray | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zorich | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Western Rule | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Press Briefing | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ed Gatty | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Steele Road | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nazare | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Very Irish | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stir the Pot | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derby War | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Table for Ten | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | George Herman Ruth | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Club | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carmelita’s Man | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Canyon Crest | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sabuda | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Start a Runnin | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Brownstone | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mama Superior | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Race Judicata | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Simmer Down | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smoothlikebuttah | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Little Tiger | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plum Sexy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Cajun Treasure | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fly to Mars | 1.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | French Getaway | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sky Confidential | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Snazzy Dresser | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Camino de Estrella | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Move Over (GB) | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ronald R (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flightline | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Weapon | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naismith | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epidemic | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Mike | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brutto | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winhappy | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Margarita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Harvest Moon | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pharoah’s Heart | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | As Time Goes By | 0.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | This Tea | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clockstrikestwelve | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unbreakable | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Go Now | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prance | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ole Silver | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Noguez | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodtingscominpink | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Basil Flavor | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dynapower | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tigre Di Slugo | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fashionably Fast | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leading Score | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justinian | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canadian Pride | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shooters Shoot | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Surfing Star | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Back | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ground Attack | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | That’s Amare | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kristi’s Tiger | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockie Causeway | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella D | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shylock Eddie | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Pipe | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’ll Do It for You | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Wysong | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Navy Queen | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.