April 23, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kittyhawk Lass | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Gone | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quinnie | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Bird (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Robin | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thrive | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scary Fast Smile | 0.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catfish Charlie | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sting Like a Bee | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | August Indy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Stretch | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Michalska | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Defiant | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Super Game | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Another Eddie | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dylans Wild Cat | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Starlight Stroll | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mucha Woman | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Little Tiger | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Squared Shady | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Westward Breeze | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reedley | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Storm | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Facts Matter | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | An Ocala Ten | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bad Gary | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sorriso | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sea of Liberty | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Constitutionaffair | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsthattime | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gov From Above | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unilateral | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Long Legs | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bonnie Lass | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Info’s Treasure | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboys Daughter | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Square | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tippy Top | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Fratelli | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Luvluv | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hammering Lemon | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Johnny Podres | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Perfectionistic | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bang for Your Buck | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | First Prez | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racetrackers | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Diablo Rojo | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tom’s Surprise | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Alpine Thunder | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Delta Wind | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Omg It’s Jessica | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alice Marble | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Perfectly Julie | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss O’Brien | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fi Fi Pharoah | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pistachio Princess | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jeanne B | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mining Crypto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | For the Good Times | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Journey | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Metaphar | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hyland Haven | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Agata | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Meg | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shout It Out | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royally Command | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alot of Magic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.