April 17, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Goldini | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Swift as I Am | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Nerves of Steel | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play Chicken | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diva’s Finale | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Willy the Cobbler | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Kennebec | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovesick Blues | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raging Waters | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Me Likey | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Child Sbud | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pappy Boyington | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Joe Don Looney | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reckoning Day | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Theluteismine | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Albizu | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gabby Hayes | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Gem | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Betito | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bam Bam Again | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Western Smoke | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tejon | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zorich | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Classic | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Question Authority | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Mizdirection S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Constantia | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Superstition | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s So Special | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leggs Galore | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Annangel (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Biddy Duke | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mount Pelliar | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Achilleus | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coastal King | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Well | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Discount | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broken Finger | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Nine One One | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Today Matters | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Happier | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Vita | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Himiko | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ce Ce | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Querida Dubai (ARG) | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Stormy D | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Californian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magic On Tap | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Country Grammer | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Independence Hall | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Ship (BRZ) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Growth Engine | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Best of Show | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | La V. | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Sonny | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Witch | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Doc | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ela Calimera Mou | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rowangoeshollywood | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Irish Soul | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bottle Neck | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Caught in a Trappe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Perfectly Julie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lady Beyonce | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Girl Pearl | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Humor Me Harper | 50.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.