April 10, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Littlebitamedal | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Cat | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Posterize | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Single Me Out | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Owning | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Antithetical | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Dance | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papale | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lone Scout | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Orb | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Summer Dream | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Luckys Last Stand | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Williams Dream | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gerlach’s | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gordy’s Boy | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Malice | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | It’s a Riddle | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saving Sophie | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Renella | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormin Ranger | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Your Royal Coil | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chollima | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moon Mischief | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Magician | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Count Alexei | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stir the Pot | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Towing | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing in Paris | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wrecking Crew | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exaulted | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | California Street | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Star Rock | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colt Fiction | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizhotndusty | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Howbeit | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Colosi | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Cobra | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Causeididitmyway | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truth Seeker | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Contagion | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swamp Souffle | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bold Endeavor | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ekklesia | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlito | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lambeau | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Act | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taishan | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sash (GB) | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heywoods Beach | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Country Grammer | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Medusa’s Gaze | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Al’s Princess | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kind But She Lies | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Season to Remember | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best of Show | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ensleys Dream | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Molokini | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lulu D’ Oro | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Phillips Lane | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Evening Anchor | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Life’s Emotions | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Brio Is Awesome | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.