Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 10, 2021

April 10, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dover Lights 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Funny Actor 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Explosive Humour 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Mo Betta 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Topf Road Rules 3.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Zombie Lobo 8.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Serbian Sailor 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Navy Seal 5.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 J’s Little Man 6.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Traffic Control 30.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Downtown Boy 30.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Bellamys Roan 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Top Gunner 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Box of Chocolates 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Gallant Plunger 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 Rob the Rich 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Davidic Line 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Sedaris 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Reef’s Destiny 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Lonely Private 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 War Detonator 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My My Munny 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Sianara 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Priddis 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Berry Good 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Frosted Blue 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Coppelia 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Silver Banshee 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Debenture 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Following Sea 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Amazing Rocket 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Happymac 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Arms an Armor 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Rising Empire 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Terawatt 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Altered 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Magicalmysterytour 30.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 My Honey’s Perfect 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Impossible Task 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Truculent 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Super Constitution 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Santos Dumont 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Prodigious Bay 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Pickford 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Quarterback Dak 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Tashkent 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Bandit Point 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Alex Joon 30.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 The Rouge Diesel 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Carousel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Edgeway 1.80 1.7 3-1
4 4 Frank’s Rockette 1.40 2.2 4-1
1 1 Wildwood’s Beauty 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Casual 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Best Kept Secret 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Mucho Amor 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Macron 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Star Sailor 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 He’smyhoneybadger 3.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Skip Intro 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Violent Gigi 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Battle Hymn 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Global Appeal 8.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Justin Speight 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Creole Bay 30.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Do Right 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Secret Courier 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Shashashakemeup 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Digital 3.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 One for Richie 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Strike Me Down 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Ancient Warrior 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Senor Jobim 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Frolic More 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Uncle Chad 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Town Champ 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Oaklawn Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rushie 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Wells Bayou 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 By My Standards 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Gun It 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Pioneer Spirit 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Blackberry Wine 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Home Base 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 The Sound 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Long Range Toddy 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Game Day Play 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Name Rejected 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Mighty Mischief 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Invincibility 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Xtreme Mayhem 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Tkotchke 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Upstriker 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Appraisal 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Lawlessness 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Count Fleet Sprint H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 No Parole 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Whitmore 1.80 2.2 4-1
6 6 C Z Rocket 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Strike Power 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Mojo Man 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Empire of Gold 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Mr. Jagermeister 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Arkansas Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hozier 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Concert Tour 1.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Caddo River 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Get Her Number 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Super Stock 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Last Samurai 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Nomadic Fighter 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Continental Coins 6.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Hype Man 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Ardanwood 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Reserve 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Saqeel 4.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Antigravity 4.50 3.3 6-1
11 11 Time Is Yours 15.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Bamalama 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Junesandra 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Mister Snickers 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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