April 10, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dover Lights | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Funny Actor | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Explosive Humour | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Betta | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Topf Road Rules | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zombie Lobo | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Serbian Sailor | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navy Seal | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | J’s Little Man | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Traffic Control | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Downtown Boy | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamys Roan | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Top Gunner | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Box of Chocolates | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gallant Plunger | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rob the Rich | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Davidic Line | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sedaris | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reef’s Destiny | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lonely Private | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | War Detonator | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My My Munny | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sianara | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Priddis | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Berry Good | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Blue | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coppelia | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Banshee | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Debenture | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Following Sea | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amazing Rocket | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happymac | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arms an Armor | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rising Empire | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Terawatt | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Altered | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magicalmysterytour | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Honey’s Perfect | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Impossible Task | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Truculent | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super Constitution | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Santos Dumont | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prodigious Bay | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pickford | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quarterback Dak | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tashkent | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bandit Point | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alex Joon | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Rouge Diesel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Carousel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Edgeway | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frank’s Rockette | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Casual | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Best Kept Secret | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Amor | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Macron | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star Sailor | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He’smyhoneybadger | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skip Intro | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Violent Gigi | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Hymn | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Global Appeal | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Justin Speight | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Do Right | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Creole Bay | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secret Courier | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shashashakemeup | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Digital | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One for Richie | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strike Me Down | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ancient Warrior | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senor Jobim | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frolic More | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Chad | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Town Champ | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Oaklawn Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rushie | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wells Bayou | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | By My Standards | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gun It | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pioneer Spirit | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blackberry Wine | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Home Base | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Sound | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Range Toddy | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Game Day Play | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Name Rejected | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Mischief | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Invincibility | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xtreme Mayhem | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tkotchke | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Upstriker | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Appraisal | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lawlessness | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Count Fleet Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Parole | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whitmore | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C Z Rocket | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strike Power | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mojo Man | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire of Gold | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Jagermeister | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Arkansas Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hozier | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Concert Tour | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caddo River | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get Her Number | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Stock | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last Samurai | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nomadic Fighter | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Continental Coins | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hype Man | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ardanwood | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reserve | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saqeel | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Antigravity | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Time Is Yours | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bamalama | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Junesandra | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Snickers | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.