Sports from the Basement

Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 9, 2021

April 9, 2021 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pi Yo Princess 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Cardioversion 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Predetermined 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Kiss Theory 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Zebra Cake 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Clearly Smashing 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Epicurean 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 White Winged Dove 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Kizzy B 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Norma Jean B. 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Closet Shopper 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Maybe Later 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Honor Hop 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Flauto 8.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Absam 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Nineeleventurbo 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Sliabh Aughty (FR) 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 El Kabong 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Seminole Beach 6.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Hardison 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Potus 10.00 6.6 13-1
11 11 Jimmy Dan 20.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Sergeant Strwberry 20.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 Temple City Blvd 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Snow’s Island 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ollie’s Gold 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bernadette the Jet 3.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Lets Take It Izzy 12.00 5 9-1
10 10 Spy a Star 8.00 5 10-1
5 5 Some Nights 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Ready N Waiting 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Sweet Queen Bee 10.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Super Lucy 12.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Stanchion 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Ones 20.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Orient Night 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Granite Candy 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Slainte 20.00 11.9 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9B 9 Stunning Princess 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Office Party 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Lijana 6.00 4.5 8-1
7A 7 Editor At Large (IRE) 2.50 5.2 10-1
11 11 Runaway Rockette 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Fabricate 12.00 5.8 11-1
14B 14 Lazy Summer Day 4.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Viburnum 12.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Bullseye Beauty 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Arm Candy 12.00 8 15-1
3 3 Flying Aletha 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mrs. O’Connell 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ms Wicked 30.00 SCRATCH
15A 15 American West 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Gote Go 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Movie Moxy 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Market Rumor 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Spice Is Nice 1.40 2.4 5-1
4 4 Maedean 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Stop War 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Prescience 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tvg Limestone Turf Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tobys Heart 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 New Boss 6.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Alda 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Goin’ Good 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Salvaje 30.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Phantom Vision 30.00 7 13-1
1 1 Inajiffy 15.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Navratilova 30.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Threatlevelmidnite (GB) 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Carimba 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Igloo 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Campanelle (IRE) 1.60 SCRATCH
11 11 Nimbostratus (FR) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Answer In 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Aloha West 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Gozilla 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Growl Tiger 4.00 3.2 6-1
6A 6 Wild Behavior 4.00 4.1 8-1
2A 2 Schmoozin 4.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 My Man Flintstone 10.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 King Snake 10.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Maker’s Mark Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Darain (GB) 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Raging Bull (FR) 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Ride a Comet 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Field Pass 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sacred Life (FR) 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Somelikeithotbrown 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Get Smokin 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Hit the Road 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Flying Scotsman 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Caramel Swirl 2.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Mo Dean 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Red Hot and Blue 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Front Street 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Musical Cat 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Floris 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Fine Cotton 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Frozay All Day 15.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 In a Dream 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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