Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 9, 2021

April 9, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gunman 1.40 2.4 5-1
5 5 Cotton Jim 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Master Q 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Chappy’s Breeze 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Navy Pier 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Souper Boom 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Nacho Supreme 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Menelik 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She Takes Heart 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Etana 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Witch Hunter 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Grace’s Drama 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Lady Fiorella 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Love Daddy 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 What’s the Move 1.80 2.9 5-1
3 3 Shikaka 1.60 3 6-1
5 5 Lady Cloverly 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Auburn 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Rooney 30.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Sharon’s Law 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sister Is Devil 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Driving Wind 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Cocotara 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Air Cavalry 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mudslide Wicked 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Bad Pay 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Mama Longlegs 30.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Bettabe Swift 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sidarth 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Samaronti 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Shananies Paynter 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Converter 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Greyzer 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Jacohare 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Crazy Shot 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tellington 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Go Mike 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Long Beach Kid 3.00 3 6-1
10 10 Load Up Moe 10.00 4 8-1
9 9 Hachacha 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Exxtop 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Uncle Pip 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Our Stuie 30.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Coltonstheadmiral 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 My Maxamillion 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Real Talk 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lauda Speed 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Boca Boy 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ocean Ride 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Super Strong 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 King Cairo 8.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lashara (GB) 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 La Babia 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Hotsy Totsy (IRE) 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Kelsey’s Cross 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Starship Nala 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Starship Mallomar 12.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Shifty She 8.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Smart Spending 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Glitter Bay 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Lullula 3.50 3.8 7-1
11 11 Shang’s Sister 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Kate’s Kingdom 4.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Italian Twin 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Sara Mia 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Dem a Wonder 12.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Serenade a Kitten 10.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Big Rings 15.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Ten Pin Ally 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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