April 2, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Goodtingscominpink | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pushing Sixty | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Pickel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Much Happy | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboys Daughter | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chrome of Our Own | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynapower | 50.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Johan Zoffani (IRE) | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Betito | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Another Chapter | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongol Altai | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broken Finger | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Derby | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Afternoon Heat | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Factorial | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rickey B | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reedley | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Storm | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jan’s Reserve | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Seeker | 50.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blackout (FR) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Psycho Dar | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Italiano | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Castle | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kitten’s Cat | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ian Glass | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Restless Rambler | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Facts Matter | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alleva | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Antithetical | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Traffic Stopper | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Eclipse | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tippy Top | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Renella | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Stormborn | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Maneuver | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exchange Vows | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Y Not Sizzle | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saburai | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Equal Measure | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sherilinda | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sabinos Pride | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gallovie (GB) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crystal Ball | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last First Kiss | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Fia | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pharoah’s Heart | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | This Tea | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | June Gloom | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McWherter | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Titrate | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Loud House | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nazare | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lemonade Stand | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Union Bliss | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pedro Perez | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nerves of Steel | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.