March 14, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Swift as I Am | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play Chicken | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goldini | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sensemaker | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Pickles | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Summer Dream | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Starship Chewbacca | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luckys Last Stand | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shotgun Rider | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fly Buddy Fly | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sting Like a Bee | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing in Paris | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Purda Vita | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Consider Me Gone | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Circle of Honor | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | K P Kan Do | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avisse | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweetheart | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vicious Velma | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rocktillyoudrop | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Found My Ball | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Theluteismine | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crossword | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Man Bags | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Box | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alpine Thunder | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lulumaru | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Barbarian | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Toffee | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Diva | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Todos Santos | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Irish O’brien S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bella Vita | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pulpit Rider | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sadie Bluegrass | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Leggs Galore | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sapphire Kid | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scarlet Heat | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nardini | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cassie Belle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Respectfully | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agreetodisagree | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oscar Nod | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yellow Dress | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dancing Dana | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Sunrise | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucha Woman | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Blend | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sofi’s Gold | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Away From the Sun | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pushing Sixty | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Anna Fantastic | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella D | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peace Pipe | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Rafaela | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shylock Eddie | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vella | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.