March 13, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | June Gloom | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Nerves of Steel | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
11 | 10 | Chasing Fame | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Imissbaymeadows | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
10 | 9 | Baracko | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Gerlach’s | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 2 | Arrest | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Call Nine One One | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
6 | 5 | Today Matters | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 6 | Pedro Perez | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
2 | 2 | Daniel’s Magic | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Triple Tap | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
2 | 1 | Eyes Open | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
3 | 2 | Barraza | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Ivory Sky | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Johan Zoffani (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 4 | Coulthard (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Good With People | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Gator Shining | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Positivity | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Mac Daddy Too | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Party Game (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Littlebitamedal | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Mr. Lovejoy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Dark Hedges | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Posterize | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Camby | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Elektronic | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Fantastic Day | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Big Buzz | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Media Blitz | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Tropical Terror | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Shazier | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Golden Star Rock | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Horse Greedy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Black Storm | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
10 | 8 | Awhitesportscoat | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Terrible Ted | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Oil Can Knight | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | Shane Zain | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | Rinse and Repeat | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tobacco Road | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
6 | 6 | Owning | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Jan’s Reserve | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Simeon S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | Cistron | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Sombeyay | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Bob and Jackie | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Jolie Olimpica (BRZ) | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Shashashakemeup | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Sparky Ville | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Beholder Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Harvest Moon | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Golden Principal | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | As Time Goes By | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Miss Stormy D | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Swiss Skydiver | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Clockstrikestwelve | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | This Tea | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Sanenus (CHI) | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Bench Judge | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Table for Ten | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
9 | 9 | Caerulean | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Bang for Your Buck | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Beaudacious | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Mysterious Stones | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Luvluv | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Afternoon Heat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
2 | 2 | Handsome Cat | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
4 | 4 | First Prez | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.