March 7, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gallovie (GB) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Saburai | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lavender (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cover Version | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Capital Heat | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trouville | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of the Track | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jen’s Battle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Warren’s Memorable | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pawnee | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Hannah | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Mama Sue | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mama Superior | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Varoma | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gidgetta | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Quality | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rakassah (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nu Pi Lambda | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Secretary | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Over Attracted | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Transporter | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Santa Ysabel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Kalypso | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Beautiful Gift | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moraz | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heels Up | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Real Hero | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Go Greta (GB) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Absolute Scenes (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sensible Cat | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carpe Fortuna | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Polished Lady | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Derby Quest | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Closing Remarks | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Traffic Stopper | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicks and Chappies | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Passion | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Larissa Jane | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Moon | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Meg | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Partyatthecapital | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bingos System | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diana Prince | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Plus | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Border Town | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | North County Guy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Next Shares | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brown Storm (CHI) | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Restrainedvengence | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stirling Drive | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mind the Gap | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Musawaat (GB) | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | So Very Smart | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Baylee | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Miss Millie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pray for My Owner | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fi Fi Pharoah | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omg It’s Jessica | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Striking Tigress | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeanne B | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Invincibella (GB) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Noguez | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Square | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Navy Queen | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acai | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ole Silver | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sophie Antoinette | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Stormborn | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.