March 6, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – China Doll S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Going Global (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golden | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sweetest Angel | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Closing Remarks | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bleu Ballon | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Quattroelle (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absolute Scenes (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ivy League | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Carpe Fortuna | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bold Endeavor | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kershaw | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Multiplier | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shooters Shoot | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Thirty Five | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mastering | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indian Peak | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Annangel (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guitty (FR) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beguiled | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Spirit (GB) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storming Lady | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love and Peace (FR) | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Querida Dubai (ARG) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ensleys Dream | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pistachio Princess | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Race Judicata | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Premiumonsaturday | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Little Tiger | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Medusa’s Gaze | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royally Command | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ela Calimera Mou | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Nimbostratus (FR) | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dancing Crane | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brilliant Cut | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Flyer | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Plum Sexy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Vicky | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Squared Shady | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Westward Breeze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – San Felipe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dream Shake | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roman Centurian | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Life Is Good | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | None Above the Law | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Great One | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Medina Spirit | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Govenor’s Party | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whisper Not (GB) | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tripoli | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gauguin (GER) | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rip City | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Club Aspen | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vantastic | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiberius Mercurius | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liberal (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Carlos S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Extra Hope | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tigre Di Slugo | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Cabbie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exaulted | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm the Court | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Loud Mouth | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strongconstitution | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brickyard Ride | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manhattan Up | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Like Strait | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Road | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flavius | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Count Again | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Animal | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Casa Creed | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Social Paranoia | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ride a Comet | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Ship (BRZ) | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flying Scotsman | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Santa Anita H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maxfield | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Independence Hall | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Express Train | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Idol | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | King Guillermo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coastal Defense | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tizamagician | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Patron d’Oro | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Defunded | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Impossible | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Following Sea | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vantage Point | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | First Class Dad | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aurelian Man | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cherubic Factor | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chaos Reigns | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sal N Louie | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winhappy | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Epidemic | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.