February 28, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bench Judge | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Exultation | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hartel | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Squalotoro | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Galloping Mischief | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sigalert | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Show Business | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Turntheclocktozero | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shuster | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foothill | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Severin | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | American Dancer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Funkenstein | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gabby Hayes | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stone’s River | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Frank Da Tank | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Williams Dream | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Well | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jibber Jabber (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetest Angel | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hyland Haven | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cider Apple (GB) | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shvere Arbeter | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ronamo | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Motown Music | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alcools | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zimba Warrior | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Diablo Rojo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Single Me Out | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Troutman | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Capo Mafioso | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ox Bridge | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Squeaky Cheeky | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Union Bliss | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Ray | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chipper | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Ford | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jungle Boy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Betito | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stir the Pot | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Count Alexei | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Ryan Seven | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Guinessey | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Notre Dame | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Synsky | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Best Dance | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arrivederci Roma | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blackout (FR) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bedrock | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strike It Lucky | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Castle | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Factorial | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Beat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Restless Rambler | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Castle Gate | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Image | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tiznow S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brandothebartender | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fashionably Fast | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margot’s Boy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desmond Doss | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surfing Star | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Hannah | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Avisse | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flag Salute | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Journey | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kind But She Lies | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judy With Grace | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jaxons Tour Guide | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Esja | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whistler’s Style | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.