Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 25, 2021

February 25, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Western Pharoah 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Mr. Peterkin 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Conquistador Show 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Epic Adventure 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Tiz the Journey 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Ponti Poker 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Samurai Saint 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Young Bull 3.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Boo Be Right 8.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 It’s Bellamy Time 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Shoot Me Straight 5.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Aunt Sunshine 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Smellin Candy 4.00 7.3 14-1
4 3 Bravura Creek 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Last Paycheck 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 1 Ten Buds 10.00 7.9 15-1
5 4 Bank Man 12.00 8.3 16-1
1A 14 Hamazing Song 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gotta Love Ike 4.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Blanco Bronco 20.00 10.4 20-1
10 10 Listen to Rose 30.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rahway 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 Hello Darling 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Seeds of Time 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Laurieann 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 She’s Divine 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Flatoutandfoxy 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Forevernoa 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Potra Liza 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forsaken 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Broadway Jerry 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Stomping Hotrod 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 J’s Little Man 5.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Mo Betta 4.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Twisted Dixie 3.50 6.4 12-1
8 8 Ducktail 15.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Dusty Hill 8.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 I Stan for Love 30.00 9 17-1
13 13 Double Bogey 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Into Orbit 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Traffic Control 20.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Strategic Affair 20.00 10.3 19-1
12 12 Kat’s Hitman 30.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Hardly a Secret 2.50 3.4 6-1
8 6 Ice Crush 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 Kristo 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 3 Tapitor 5.00 3.9 7-1
10 8 Tashkent 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Gospel Abe 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 2 Flashymeister 15.00 8.2 15-1
12 9 Stuart Hall 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 7 Calculated Risker 20.00 9.9 19-1
1 2 Splash for Gold 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Dealin’ Stelen 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Baquero Flies 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Kid’s Mischief 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 10 Fort Ridge 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Quality Warrior 3.50 2 4-1
11 10 Stone Secret 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Torin 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Beaucette’s Ekati 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Dryspell 15.00 4.3 8-1
12 11 Coach Dan 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Cascade King 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Jack Luvs Nova 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Naveen 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Little Chief 12.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Lookit 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Special Pryce 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Fixation 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Alex’s Strike 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 News Flash 10.00 3.9 7-1
12 10 Lonely Private 4.00 4.3 8-1
11 9 All Eyes West 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Cabot 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Lullaby Bling 12.00 8.3 16-1
9 8 Bullion 20.00 8.4 16-1
5 4 Polar Wind 12.00 8.6 16-1
8 7 Major Attraction 12.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Substantial 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Something Super 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Discreet Tiger 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Declined 3.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Nashvegas 20.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Thomas Shelby 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Bank 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Abundant 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Fastly 1.80 3.6 7-1
5 5 Kadri 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 One for Richie 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Rob the Rich 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Bandit Point 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Marion Francis 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 1 Stillchargingmaria 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 5 Trumpet Lilly 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Class Reunion 5.00 2.8 5-1
9 7 Princess Lea 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 6 Take Charge Lorin 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Silver Banshee 30.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Seeking Honor 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Smarmy 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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