February 25, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Western Pharoah | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Peterkin | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Conquistador Show | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Adventure | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz the Journey | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ponti Poker | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Samurai Saint | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Young Bull | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boo Be Right | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | It’s Bellamy Time | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shoot Me Straight | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aunt Sunshine | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smellin Candy | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bravura Creek | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Last Paycheck | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ten Buds | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bank Man | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Hamazing Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gotta Love Ike | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Blanco Bronco | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Listen to Rose | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rahway | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Darling | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seeds of Time | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laurieann | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Divine | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flatoutandfoxy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forevernoa | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Potra Liza | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forsaken | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Broadway Jerry | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stomping Hotrod | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | J’s Little Man | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Betta | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Twisted Dixie | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ducktail | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dusty Hill | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Stan for Love | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Double Bogey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Into Orbit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Traffic Control | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strategic Affair | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kat’s Hitman | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Hardly a Secret | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ice Crush | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kristo | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tapitor | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tashkent | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gospel Abe | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flashymeister | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Stuart Hall | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Calculated Risker | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Splash for Gold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dealin’ Stelen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Baquero Flies | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kid’s Mischief | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Fort Ridge | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Quality Warrior | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stone Secret | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Torin | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beaucette’s Ekati | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dryspell | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Coach Dan | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cascade King | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jack Luvs Nova | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Naveen | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Chief | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookit | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Special Pryce | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fixation | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Alex’s Strike | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | News Flash | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Lonely Private | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | All Eyes West | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cabot | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lullaby Bling | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bullion | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Polar Wind | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Major Attraction | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Substantial | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Something Super | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Discreet Tiger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Declined | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Nashvegas | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Thomas Shelby | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bank | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abundant | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fastly | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kadri | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One for Richie | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rob the Rich | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bandit Point | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Marion Francis | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stillchargingmaria | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Trumpet Lilly | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Class Reunion | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Princess Lea | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Take Charge Lorin | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Silver Banshee | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seeking Honor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Smarmy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.