February 25, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Monarchos Prayer | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Love Bound | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | For Real Alice | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Kehron’s Creed | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Blondie Lox Babe | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Cherry Twist | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Custom for Carlita | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | Lucky Linz | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Daddymademedoit | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1A | 6 | Slime Queen | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Tornado Crossing | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
1 | 2 | Queen of the Lane | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
8 | 9 | Black Kat Taps | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
6 | 7 | Artistic Jewler | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Beautiful Bella | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
7 | 8 | Lemon Chill | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Sneak Peek | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Schnell | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | War Savvy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Grief | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Drewhustle | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Your Time’s Coming | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Janets Jay Jay | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Highland Creek | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Nosy Banker | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Half Ours to Keep | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
9 | 8 | Armchair Jockey | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Executive Bonus | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
10 | 9 | Take That for Data | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Overzealous | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Foldover | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Pine Grove Road | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
11 | 10 | Cadet Captain | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
2 | 2 | Stock Trade | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
6 | 6 | Skycraft | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Specially | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | She Can’t Sing | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Free | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Sassy Seneca | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Sterling Miss | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Haynesfest | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Vomba | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | One Time Gem | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Immortal | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | Awesummer | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Ames Mister | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Soul Coaxing | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Half Cocked | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Clearly Mad | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Aniclude | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | The Last Option | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Silent Steve | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Kittansett | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Moliere | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Harvey Wallbanger | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Job Security | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Majestic West | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Canihaveitlikethat | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Lemon Kick | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Conative | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Hohohoho | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Xtrema | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Killer Dress | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | War Falcon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Time for Glory | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
3 | 2 | Breonna | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Princess d’Oro | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Chinatown Nancy | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Beautiful Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1A | 5 | Fire Blaster | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
10 | 8 | Taken Back | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 3 | Philly | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
11 | 9 | Southern Swagg | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 1 | Zendelphian | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
6 | 4 | Caeus in Pasadena | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 2 | Booth Road Shine | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
8 | 7 | Alma Derby | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
7 | 6 | General Tone | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
1 | 5 | Impressive Student | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 2 | Free Indeed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 10 | Pure Valor | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.