Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 25, 2021

February 25, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 From Now On 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Don’t Split Tens 20.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Take Charge Chase 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Carbonated 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Forgotten Coast 3.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Leftfieldjunction 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Donwell 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Lip Service 2.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Stanton C 20.00 8 15-1
6 6 Lucky Andy 5.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 All Star Rocket 1.60 2.3 4-1
2 2 Accustomed to Hope 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Miss Manassas 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Bliss La Vie 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Lucky Lily Be 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Viking Voyage 4.50 6 11-1
4 4 Sophisticated Girl 3.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Egeauxtism 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Pepper Jack 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Heather’s Request 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 War Player 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Shack Partout 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Kingston Street 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Crown Me Jackson 8.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nana’s Joy 1.80 1.1 2-1
7 7 A J’s Grand 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Mostly Awesome 20.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Amelia Madelyn 8.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Fianna Hills 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Charzee Baby 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Lil Allie Dancer 10.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Shallow River 5.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Aquaholic 8.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Swanee Beach 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Overly Sweet 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Party With Kassidy 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Devastating Beauty 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Clever Arch 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Crider Chase 3.50 6.1 12-1
6 6 Malibu Midnight 1.60 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Super Legs 15.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Zugersee 20.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Skykat 2.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Rosecoloredglasses 15.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Viva Cat 8.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Heather Divine 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Dignityto Infinity 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Hanging Lake 5.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Joe G’s Payback 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Catcake 6.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Run Far Rylee 3.50 8.9 17-1
7 7 Perfect Justice 10.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 American Mom 20.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Our Amen 12.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Naughty Justice 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 I Dont Know Either 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Song for Heddings 15.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Flat Out Flirty 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Saint Kennedy 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Nancy’s Rescue 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Lucky Little Lady 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Mariposa d’Oro 2.50 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Elegant Orchid 15.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Crispy Creed 15.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Storied Trip 3.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Miss Charlie Sioux 1.80 4.2 8-1
5 5 Jet Sweep 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 The Complete Court 4.50 6.2 12-1
2 2 Jennifer’s Arch 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Saber Cut 6.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Flashyboy’s Lilsis 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Why God 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Double Cool 12.00 1.7 3-1
2 1 Ebrio 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Jack Be Quick 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 2 Mistake Present 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Mr Makeithappen 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 December Seven 2.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Temprano 8.00 5.2 10-1
1A 10 Smooth Colliery 5.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Sonoma Crush 12.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 R and R Star 20.00 1.2 2-1
10 10 Stealing Apriority 15.00 1.6 3-1
12 12 The Thimble 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Midnight Nightmare 20.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 My Little Flaco 15.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Peytonwegotdonuts 5.00 9 17-1
7 7 Run Away Son 1.80 9.4 18-1
9 9 Beaux Victory 8.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Charli Michael 15.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Courageous Is Back 6.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Daves Friend Dewey 10.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Grand Prado 4.00 10.5 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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