February 20, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Winnipeg Wonder | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Gingeronmymind | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Chardrenee | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Anonymous Source | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Big Cheeks | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Princess Merida | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courted | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Suspicious Minds | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sandra’s Mine | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Island Vibe | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gilded Lady | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Martha | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caffeine Rush | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alta Velocita | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Me Mo My | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Smok’n | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dontpushyourluck | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Love On the Run | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Kentucky Girl | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Breehazel | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Easy On the Sugar | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ladies’ Choice | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What a Trick | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Benefit St | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | To a T | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Briella | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ms V Time | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hara | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polished Gem | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourma | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Puttheglassdown | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Combination | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Apollo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karen’s Cove | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr Harlan | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Young Raymond | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Pistol | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Pepper | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | South Sea | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girolamo’s Attack | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ludington | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silverly Enough | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cove Blue | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Septemberten | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Girl Dad | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zippy Baby | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Richiesgotgame | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Honorable | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chao | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Seazan | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yes This Time | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Leonardo | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Gun Tommy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Southern Passage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ghazaaly | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midlaner | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prayer Book | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swingman | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quantum Leap | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taita | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Cairo | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Musk | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zipalong | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burly Boy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Souper Energizer | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alastor | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thenorthremembers | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Auburn Hills | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Axel | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Emoji Guy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mitzrayim | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Policy Option | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maverick Kitten | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Always Misbehaving | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Accessible | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sharetheblame | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Deputy Czar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Trouble Coffee | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ronithelimodriver | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chocolate Bar | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Watson | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Briefcase Bully | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tulfarris (GB) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lake Nakuru | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kaufy Bean | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin At Roses | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Royal Delta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Danvers | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eres Tu | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bajan Girl | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gibberish | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Marie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Regard | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hallawallah | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Nekia | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All Good | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Juan Pablo | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spinning Kitten | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wise to Listen | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ninja Dust | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kunal | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Strong Ending | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Guaco | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Positive Phil | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Churchills Victory | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Taamer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Power (BRZ) | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mason’s Song | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Atakan | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Handsome Prince | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.