Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 20, 2021

February 20, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Winnipeg Wonder 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 6 Gingeronmymind 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 Chardrenee 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Anonymous Source 12.00 4 8-1
5 3 Big Cheeks 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 5 Princess Merida 30.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Courted 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Suspicious Minds 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sandra’s Mine 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Island Vibe 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Gilded Lady 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Divine Martha 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Caffeine Rush 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Alta Velocita 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Mo Me Mo My 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Just Smok’n 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dontpushyourluck 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 R Love On the Run 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Blue Kentucky Girl 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Breehazel 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Easy On the Sugar 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Ladies’ Choice 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 What a Trick 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Benefit St 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 To a T 3.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Briella 1.60 2.4 4-1
1 1 Ms V Time 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Hara 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Polished Gem 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Bourma 8.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Puttheglassdown 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Combination 1.20 3.2 6-1
8 8 Starship Apollo 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Karen’s Cove 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Northern 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dr Harlan 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Young Raymond 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Moon Pistol 20.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Black Pepper 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 South Sea 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Girolamo’s Attack 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ludington 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Silverly Enough 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Cove Blue 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Septemberten 6.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Girl Dad 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Zippy Baby 4.50 4.5 8-1
7 6 Richiesgotgame 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Honorable 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Chao 6.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Seazan 8.00 7.6 14-1
5 4 Yes This Time 8.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Mister Leonardo 10.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Top Gun Tommy 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Southern Passage 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ghazaaly 1.60 1.6 3-1
8 8 Midlaner 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Prayer Book 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Swingman 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Quantum Leap 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Taita 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 King Cairo 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Musk 30.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zipalong 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Burly Boy 5.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Souper Energizer 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Alastor 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Thenorthremembers 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Auburn Hills 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Mr. Axel 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Emoji Guy 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 Mitzrayim 15.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Policy Option 15.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Maverick Kitten 20.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Always Misbehaving 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Accessible 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Sharetheblame 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Deputy Czar 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Trouble Coffee 30.00 13.3 25-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ronithelimodriver 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 7 Dreams of Tomorrow 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Chocolate Bar 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Souper Watson 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Briefcase Bully 6.00 4 8-1
9 8 Tulfarris (GB) 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Lake Nakuru 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Kaufy Bean 15.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Lookin At Roses 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Royal Delta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mrs. Danvers 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Eres Tu 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Bajan Girl 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Gibberish 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dream Marie 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 High Regard 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Hallawallah 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Queen Nekia 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 All Good 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Juan Pablo 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Spinning Kitten 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Wise to Listen 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Ninja Dust 8.00 5 9-1
8 8 Kunal 8.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Strong Ending 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Guaco 20.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Positive Phil 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Churchills Victory 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Taamer 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Power (BRZ) 30.00 11.3 21-1
3 3 Mason’s Song 30.00 11.4 22-1
6 6 Atakan 30.00 11.9 22-1
10 10 Handsome Prince 30.00 13.2 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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