February 19, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Du Jour | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Man Friday | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enough Nonsense | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Airman | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warbird | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Joy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Achilleus | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ivory Sky | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Clockstrikestwelve | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Ginger | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Li’l Grazen | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady On Ice | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Barbarian | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time for Ebby | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sadie Bluegrass | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Queen’s Code | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jungle Boy | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Luvluv | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Vronsky Style | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kristel’s Rebel | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Chewbacca | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Square Root | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racetrackers | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | August Indy | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Little Rachel | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | McWherter | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Mischief | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Fury | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Me Macho | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Magician | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amiko Chow (IRE) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lakaya | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Pamela | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nicole Grace | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unbreakable | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Go Now | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Drop Tini | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lookintogeteven | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Gotta Be Lucky | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady O’Prado | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | True Mischief | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Info’s Treasure | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Princess Tale | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mongolian Sunrise | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboys Daughter | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | I’m Leaving You | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Mystery | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hoop Dream | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holden the Lute | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Talking | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Witch’s Vow | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Dancer | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Invictatatus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eel Point | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Defense Wins | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Montana Moon | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Kohen | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat White | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gov From Above | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Classic | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rockie Causeway | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slew South | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Sky | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’ll Do It for You | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vronsky Zips Away | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phoenix Tears | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Humor Me Harper | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rays Darlinkle | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aristeia | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Hy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.